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我與⼀位朋友打賭, 他⼀般是在我可以擊敗spread點差讓分50%的地⽅下 注、或者在將臨的NFL美式⾜球每⼀場正規球季。如果我贏的話, 我會拿 到$1000. 如果他贏的話, 我得⽀付$500. 直到10/31/10星期⽇我領先19場 ⽐賽、⽽他要與我deal交易妥協。這時哪⼀種提議⽐較好？ 如果⼀⽀NFL球隊在上次⽐賽徹底被擊敗, 在下⼀場的⽐賽是否還要押注 他們、或者反向押注他們？相同的問題也針對在⼀次⽐賽⼤勝之後。我總 會聽到, ⼀⽀球隊在⼤輸之後、將會「想要證明⾃⼰」, ⽽⼀⽀球隊在⼤贏 之後、或許因為過度⾃信⽽變得懶散。怎樣才是真的？ 什麼樣的動態會影響⾜球總分的押注、當球季進⾏當時, 天氣會變壞、還 有更多關於球隊最近表現的資訊？有多容易(或多難)去發現賭盤的錯誤？ 在NFL美式⾜球4th quarter場次之前onside kick邊場踢球成功的機率是多 少。我是說, Super Bowl超級盃當中的動作絕對是聰明的, 可是Saints的教 練是否有統計數值⽀持他的決定、或者只是靈機⼀動⽽已？

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詢問巫師

這個專欄擁有超過21年的歷史，共計330篇專欄文章，涵蓋了近2,250個提問與解答。

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收音機

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這些網站是由我們的編輯精心挑選的，因為它們的質量、實用性以及作為準確信息可靠來源的聲譽。

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這個網站自2002年開始運營，是一個提供遊戲指南以及匯總老虎機和在線賭場玩家評分的絕佳資源。